Report Completo
================================================================================
BTC UP/DOWN 5-MIN BOT — REPORT
Generato: 2026-02-28 19:57:13
Modalita: DRY RUN
================================================================================
── CAPITALE ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Iniziale: $100.00
Attuale: $102.03
P&L daily: +2.03 USDC
ROI: +2.03%
── SCOMMESSE ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Tentate: 18
Risolte: 16
Vincenti: 12
Perdenti: 4
Win Rate: 75.0%
── CONFIGURAZIONE ────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Soglia min_confidence: 0.5
Soglia strong_confidence: 0.72
Bet ogni N round: 1
Max bet % capitale: 2.0%
Max daily loss %: 5.0%
History min per learn: 10
Pesi segnali:
binance_momentum = 0.20
ema_cross = 0.12
rsi = 0.08
ofi = 0.12
tv_consensus = 0.08
fear_greed = 0.03
poly_odds_fade = 0.08
history_pattern = 0.09
whale_activity = 0.20
── SEGNALI ATTUALI (snapshot live) ───────────────────────────────────
BTC price: $66,253.30 [fonte: Custom/Env]
Momentum 5m: -0.197035
EMA fast/slow: 66252.99 / 66251.69
EMA diff %: +0.0019%
RSI: 100.0
OFI: -0.5551
TradingView: -0.376
Fear & Greed: 11
Whale Score: -0.1854 (bearish)
Buy vol: 37.7800 BTC | Sell vol: 103.4320 BTC | Net: -65.6520
Imbalance: -0.4649 | Whale trades: 119
Mempool: 25,947 txs | 17.65 MB | Large: 0 (>=50.0 BTC)
── PREDIZIONE ATTUALE (cosa farebbe ora) ─────────────────────────────
Mercato: btc-updown-5m-1772308500
Poly UP=0.090 DOWN=0.910
Direzione: DOWN
Score totale: -0.4176
Confidence: 0.709 (soglia: 0.5)
Bet size: $1.00
>>> PASSEREBBE: bet DOWN $1.00
Breakdown segnali (raw_score × peso = contributo):
binance_momentum -0.985 × 0.20 = -0.1970 ------------------------------
ema_cross +0.019 × 0.12 = +0.0023
rsi -0.500 × 0.08 = -0.0400 --------
ofi -1.000 × 0.12 = -0.1200 ------------------------
tv_consensus -0.376 × 0.08 = -0.0301 ------
fear_greed -0.300 × 0.03 = -0.0090 -
poly_odds_fade +0.400 × 0.08 = +0.0320 ++++++
history_pattern -0.209 × 0.09 = -0.0188 ---
whale_activity -0.185 × 0.20 = -0.0371 -------
── LOG DECISIONI (ultimi round) ──────────────────────────────────────
Round # 4 18:47:12 | ✓ BET | dir=UP | conf=0.509 | score=+0.0188 | $1.00
Risultato: ✓ WIN +$0.46 | Risolto: Up [polymarket] | Binance: UP (+0.432%)
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: binance_momentum=+0.44, rsi=+0.50
Spinta DOWN: ofi=-0.29, poly_odds_fade=-0.40, tv_consensus=-0.38
Round # 5 18:52:11 | ✓ BET | dir=DOWN | conf=0.507 | score=-0.0145 | $1.00
Risultato: ✗ LOSS -$1.00 | Risolto: Up [polymarket] | Binance: UP (+0.285%)
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: whale_activity=+0.40, ofi=+0.59, poly_odds_fade=+0.15
Spinta DOWN: binance_momentum=-0.56, tv_consensus=-0.38, rsi=-0.30
Round # 6 18:57:12 | ✓ BET | dir=DOWN | conf=0.635 | score=-0.2706 | $1.00
Risultato: ✓ WIN +$1.25 | Risolto: Down [polymarket] | Binance: DOWN (-0.436%)
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: ema_cross=+0.01
Spinta DOWN: binance_momentum=-0.73, rsi=-0.50, tv_consensus=-0.38
Round # 7 19:02:11 | ✓ BET | dir=DOWN | conf=0.506 | score=-0.0114 | $1.00
Risultato: ✓ WIN +$0.60 | Risolto: Down [polymarket] | Binance: DOWN (-0.283%)
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: rsi=+0.50, poly_odds_fade=+0.15, whale_activity=+0.04
Spinta DOWN: tv_consensus=-0.38, ofi=-0.14, binance_momentum=-0.07
Round # 8 19:07:12 | ✓ BET | dir=DOWN | conf=0.545 | score=-0.0900 | $1.00
Risultato: ✓ WIN +$0.23 | Risolto: Down [polymarket] | Binance: UP (+0.171%)
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: poly_odds_fade=+0.40, whale_activity=+0.13, ema_cross=+0.02
Spinta DOWN: binance_momentum=-0.24, rsi=-0.50, tv_consensus=-0.38
Round # 9 19:12:11 | ✓ BET | dir=DOWN | conf=0.502 | score=-0.0044 | $1.00
Risultato: ✗ LOSS -$1.00 | Risolto: Up [polymarket] | Binance: UP (+0.030%)
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: binance_momentum=+0.15, rsi=+0.30, whale_activity=+0.12
Spinta DOWN: poly_odds_fade=-0.40, tv_consensus=-0.38, ofi=-0.09
Round # 10 19:17:12 | ✓ BET | dir=UP | conf=0.507 | score=+0.0134 | $1.00
Risultato: ✗ LOSS -$1.00 | Risolto: Down [polymarket] | Binance: DOWN (-0.099%)
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: rsi=+0.50, ofi=+0.20, whale_activity=+0.12
Spinta DOWN: poly_odds_fade=-0.40, tv_consensus=-0.38, fear_greed=-0.30
Round # 11 19:22:11 | ✓ BET | dir=DOWN | conf=0.541 | score=-0.0826 | $1.00
Risultato: ✓ WIN +$1.90 | Risolto: Down [polymarket] | Binance: UP (+0.468%)
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: rsi=+0.30
Spinta DOWN: poly_odds_fade=-0.40, tv_consensus=-0.38, history_pattern=-0.23
Round # 12 19:27:12 | ✓ BET | dir=UP | conf=0.544 | score=+0.0879 | $1.00
Risultato: ✓ WIN +$0.21 | Risolto: Up [polymarket] | Binance: UP (+0.748%)
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: binance_momentum=+0.57, rsi=+0.50, history_pattern=+0.23
Spinta DOWN: poly_odds_fade=-0.40, tv_consensus=-0.38, whale_activity=-0.05
Round # 13 19:32:11 | ✓ BET | dir=UP | conf=0.641 | score=+0.2821 | $1.00
Risultato: ✓ WIN +$0.06 | Risolto: Up [polymarket] | Binance: UP (+0.473%)
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: binance_momentum=+0.85, ofi=+1.00, whale_activity=+0.41
Spinta DOWN: rsi=-0.50, poly_odds_fade=-0.40, tv_consensus=-0.38
Round # 14 19:37:12 | ✓ BET | dir=DOWN | conf=0.641 | score=-0.2825 | $1.00
Risultato: ✗ LOSS -$1.00 | Risolto: Up [polymarket] | Binance: UP (+0.296%)
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: ema_cross=+0.02
Spinta DOWN: whale_activity=-0.34, binance_momentum=-0.33, rsi=-0.50
Round # 15 19:42:11 | ✓ BET | dir=DOWN | conf=0.581 | score=-0.1614 | $1.00
Risultato: ✓ WIN +$0.07 | Risolto: Down [polymarket] | Binance: UP (+0.284%)
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: whale_activity=+0.28, ofi=+0.44, poly_odds_fade=+0.40
Spinta DOWN: binance_momentum=-1.00, rsi=-0.50, tv_consensus=-0.38
Round # 16 19:47:12 | ✓ BET | dir=UP | conf=0.526 | score=+0.0510 | $1.00
Risultato: ✓ WIN +$0.31 | Risolto: Up [polymarket] | Binance: DOWN (-0.136%)
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: rsi=+0.50, whale_activity=+0.14, ofi=+0.21
Spinta DOWN: poly_odds_fade=-0.40, tv_consensus=-0.38, fear_greed=-0.30
Round # 17 19:52:10 | ✓ BET | dir=DOWN | conf=0.542 | score=-0.0844 | $1.00
Risultato: ⏳ in attesa di risoluzione...
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: whale_activity=+0.18, poly_odds_fade=+0.15
Spinta DOWN: binance_momentum=-0.33, tv_consensus=-0.38, history_pattern=-0.20
Round # 18 19:57:11 | ✓ BET | dir=DOWN | conf=0.629 | score=-0.2573 | $1.00
Risultato: ⏳ in attesa di risoluzione...
Motivo: BET PIAZZATA
Spinta UP: poly_odds_fade=+0.40
Spinta DOWN: binance_momentum=-0.74, ofi=-0.55, tv_consensus=-0.38
── STATISTICHE DECISIONI ──────────────────────────────────────────────
Round valutati: 18
Bet piazzate: 18 (100%)
Skippati: 0 (0%)
di cui no market: 0
di cui low conf: 0
Confidence media: 0.553
Confidence min: 0.502
Confidence max: 0.641
Risolte Polymarket: 16
In attesa: 2
⏳ Bet in coda: 1 (aspettando Polymarket)
── STORICO CSV ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Round in CSV: 17
Binance↔CL: 70.6% match rate
Con resolution: 17
History learn: ATTIVO
── STATO ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Round visti: 18
Uptime: 85.7 min
Mercato: btc-updown-5m-1772308500 UP=0.090 DOWN=0.910
================================================================================